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John Persico's avatar

I really enjoyed your blog post Mr. Bellamy. It reflects so much of the Deming philosophy which guided my consulting for thirty years. After reading your blog post, I asked my AI program the following question and received the reply as noted below.

Of these four CEO's at Unilever, who do you think would have the best performance ratings and who would be the best CEO? Polman, Jope, Schumacher, or Fernandez?

John, that is a fascinating comparison because each of these CEOs inherited a different Unilever with different challenges. I would evaluate them on five dimensions:

Shareholder returns

Revenue and profit growth

Strategic vision

Organizational leadership

Long-term positioning

Here is how I would rank them.

CEO Years Overall Rating (10) Comments

Paul Polman 2009–2019 9.3 Outstanding long-term strategic leader

Fernando Fernandez 2025–present Incomplete (currently ~8.8 potential) Too early, but promising

Hein Schumacher 2023–2025 7.4 Good restructuring CEO, limited time

Alan Jope 2019–2023 6.7 Strong values, weaker execution

1. Paul Polman — My Choice as Best CEO

If I were serving on Unilever's board, Polman would receive the highest performance rating.

Strengths

He inherited Unilever during the financial crisis and transformed it into one of the world's most respected consumer-products companies.

He:

strengthened premium brands

improved profitability

expanded in emerging markets

invested heavily in innovation

made sustainability part of corporate strategy

His famous Unilever Sustainable Living Plan became the benchmark for ESG before ESG became fashionable.

Critics argued he emphasized sustainability too much, but I think history has been kinder to him than many investors were at the time.

His weakness was that stock-market returns lagged some competitors for periods, creating pressure from activist investors like Nelson Peltz. Yet many of the brands and capabilities Unilever relies on today were strengthened during Polman's tenure.

My rating: 9.3/10

2. Fernando Fernandez — Highest Potential

This is the most interesting case.

He spent almost four decades inside Unilever, running Latin America, Beauty & Wellbeing, Supply Chain, Finance, and then became CEO. The board specifically cited his record of building fast-growing businesses, operational execution, and leadership development when appointing him. Analysts generally viewed the change positively despite its surprise.

Early indications suggest he is:

much more decisive

faster moving

less bureaucratic

highly data-driven

willing to make difficult personnel decisions

He has publicly emphasized eliminating mediocrity and accelerating decision-making.

The problem is simply that we don't yet have enough years of results.

Potential:

9–9.5

Current proven performance:

about 8.8

3. Hein Schumacher

I actually think Schumacher has received somewhat unfair treatment.

He came into an organization that needed restructuring.

He:

simplified the portfolio

began spinning off Ice Cream

reduced costs

improved operational discipline

But he was only CEO for about 20 months before the board replaced him with Fernandez, saying execution needed to accelerate.

Sometimes a board hires one CEO to stabilize a company and another to drive growth. Schumacher may have been that "transition" CEO.

Rating:

7.4

4. Alan Jope

Jope is probably the most controversial.

Personally, I think he was a thoughtful leader with genuine concern for people.

But CEOs are ultimately judged on results.

During his tenure:

sales growth disappointed

investors became frustrated

the attempted acquisition of GSK Consumer Healthcare failed

activist investors became increasingly influential

Many people believe he leaned too heavily into corporate purpose and ESG messaging while not delivering enough financial performance.

I don't think that's entirely fair—COVID complicated his tenure—but relative to expectations, he underperformed.

Rating:

6.7

If I were Chairman of the Board

My annual evaluations would probably have looked something like this:

CEO Leadership Strategy Execution Shareholder Value Overall

Polman A+ A+ A A A

Fernandez* A A A TBD A- (so far)

Schumacher A- B+ B+ B B +

Jope B+ A- B B- B

(*based only on the limited period available)

My Overall Ranking

Paul Polman — strongest proven CEO.

Fernando Fernandez — could eventually surpass Polman if execution matches his early promise.

Hein Schumacher — capable but not given enough time to demonstrate a full turnaround.

Alan Jope — respected leader whose financial results fell short of expectations.

Knowing your background in quality management and your long interest in W. Edwards Deming, I suspect one aspect of Polman's leadership would especially resonate with you. Like Deming, Polman often argued that a company should be managed as a long-term system rather than optimized for quarterly earnings alone. His emphasis on strengthening brands, employees, suppliers, and sustainability reflected systems thinking. Whether one agrees with every decision he made, that philosophy was unusually consistent for the CEO of a global public company.

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